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Варто почитати, хоча і з певною обережністю.
Гарний екскурс в історію Китаю і китайської айті-індустрії, а також відмінностей від США, і їх причин. В багатьох передбаченнях є, з чим посперечатися, хоча я розумію погляди автора, і обґрунтування під ними є.
В деяких моментах автор здається досить позитивно-упередженим щодо "китайського шляху", наприклад в тих моментах, що коли говорить про розвиток АІ і досягнення - це ілюструється китайськими стартапами, коли переходить до теми можливого негативного соціального впливу і масової втрати роботи - тут вже дослідження і приклади з американського життя, а про Китай сказано тільки, що "да, тут теж все не ідеально, але держава якось впорається".
Кілька глав, де автора більше тягне на лірику - найслабші.
В підсумку, якщо хочете дізнатись про айті в Китаї - можна сміливо читати до половини, буде круто і цікаво. Далі - по бажанню.
Гарний екскурс в історію Китаю і китайської айті-індустрії, а також відмінностей від США, і їх причин. В багатьох передбаченнях є, з чим посперечатися, хоча я розумію погляди автора, і обґрунтування під ними є.
В деяких моментах автор здається досить позитивно-упередженим щодо "китайського шляху", наприклад в тих моментах, що коли говорить про розвиток АІ і досягнення - це ілюструється китайськими стартапами, коли переходить до теми можливого негативного соціального впливу і масової втрати роботи - тут вже дослідження і приклади з американського життя, а про Китай сказано тільки, що "да, тут теж все не ідеально, але держава якось впорається".
Кілька глав, де автора більше тягне на лірику - найслабші.
В підсумку, якщо хочете дізнатись про айті в Китаї - можна сміливо читати до половини, буде круто і цікаво. Далі - по бажанню.
Really interesting to hear Kai-Fu Lee views on the differences in the AI-field between China and the US, as well as the history leading up to today's situation. Great insight into the "Chinese model" of AI development. The final chapters were unfortunately not worth taking the time to read, starting from when he talks in general about AI (very, very basic), and then moves onto his personal life and finally to the future of AI. Pretty bad and fluffy arguments.
- ML success brings more data which brings more success - winner takes all
- China exceeds at O2O and mobile payments which means more of their lives are tied to their phones and thus big tech has the data - they "go heavy"
- AI superpower four pillars: data, entrepreneurs, AI scientists, supporting policy environment
- Four waves: internet AI, business AI, perception AI, autonomous AI
- Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good
- Many previous tech developments de-skilled labor but AI skill biases
- Meditate on loving instead of optimizing
- Social investment stipend instead of UBI
- China exceeds at O2O and mobile payments which means more of their lives are tied to their phones and thus big tech has the data - they "go heavy"
- AI superpower four pillars: data, entrepreneurs, AI scientists, supporting policy environment
- Four waves: internet AI, business AI, perception AI, autonomous AI
- Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good
- Many previous tech developments de-skilled labor but AI skill biases
- Meditate on loving instead of optimizing
- Social investment stipend instead of UBI
Taiwanese technologist and investor, Kai-Fu Lee, takes the reader through the likely implications of artificial intelligence on the global economy. He frames this discussion by considering how China and the USA are poised to be the leaders in this new world and making predictions about how which country is likely to be dominant.
This is a decent enough read if you want to get an understanding of how AI will probably affect jobs. Spoiler: the author predicts that there is a massive crisis looming.
Notable sections of the book include the chapter on the 4 waves of AI, the section on what AI can and cannot do and which types of jobs are likely to be replaced by machines, and his alternative to UBI which is often touted as a panacea to the impending unemployment bump. Incidentally, I agreed with his critique of UBI but didn't quite agree with his proposed solution: a social investment stipend which rewards those who engage in work that creates a more compassionate and caring world.
This book is thoughtful and interesting. It is also repetitive at times and a bit "fluffy" with some of its conclusions. If you must read something on AI, which you probably must, I'd recommend Martin Ford's Rise of The Robots for a more detailed treatment. That said, the authors make many of the same points, which is probably why I didn't enjoy this one as much.
This is a decent enough read if you want to get an understanding of how AI will probably affect jobs. Spoiler: the author predicts that there is a massive crisis looming.
Notable sections of the book include the chapter on the 4 waves of AI, the section on what AI can and cannot do and which types of jobs are likely to be replaced by machines, and his alternative to UBI which is often touted as a panacea to the impending unemployment bump. Incidentally, I agreed with his critique of UBI but didn't quite agree with his proposed solution: a social investment stipend which rewards those who engage in work that creates a more compassionate and caring world.
This book is thoughtful and interesting. It is also repetitive at times and a bit "fluffy" with some of its conclusions. If you must read something on AI, which you probably must, I'd recommend Martin Ford's Rise of The Robots for a more detailed treatment. That said, the authors make many of the same points, which is probably why I didn't enjoy this one as much.
4 stars for the topic, as a student in the data science field it’s good to see Lee’s perspective. His argument against UBI is compelling and his knowledge of both China and the US make this book both interesting and informative. I do think it could have been shorter he repeats some points many times to really drive them home.
“A clear-eyed look at the technology’s long-term impact has revealed a sobering truth: in the coming decades, AI’s greatest potential to disrupt and destroy lies not in international military contests but in what it will do to our labor markets and social systems. Appreciating the momentous social and economic turbulence that is on our horizon should humble us. It should also turn our competitive instincts into a search for cooperative solutions to the common challenges that we all face as human beings, people whose fates are inextricably intertwined across all economic classes and national borders.”
An excellent overview of AI where it stands, and where it's going. Took one star off as the last portion of the book was a little heavy handed with the whole, diagnosed with cancer, near death experience completely changed my life/views. Not that there's anything wrong with that, it is an important experience and gives a little bit of "heart" to an otherwise straightforward review of AI—but it's a little jarring after the excellent analysis of the first part and could have been saved for a personal memoir instead of a book on tech.
*However* ... Lee is writing from his own personal (extensive) experience with AI so, it gets a pass.
Excellent book!
An excellent overview of AI where it stands, and where it's going. Took one star off as the last portion of the book was a little heavy handed with the whole, diagnosed with cancer, near death experience completely changed my life/views. Not that there's anything wrong with that, it is an important experience and gives a little bit of "heart" to an otherwise straightforward review of AI—but it's a little jarring after the excellent analysis of the first part and could have been saved for a personal memoir instead of a book on tech.
*However* ... Lee is writing from his own personal (extensive) experience with AI so, it gets a pass.
Excellent book!
Insightful book on how China is winning AI race over US. China uses unorthodox methods-Gladiotarial ways
Bastante satisfactorio e informativo, flaquea algo en la última parte cuando se vuelve torna a un enfoque más personal, pero necesario para mostrar su idea de como debería acabar siendo la sociedad cuando la IA avance y provoque una catástrofe en el empleo.
Me ha fascinado el inicio donde relata como ha avanzado China en el terreno tecnológico en los ultimo 20 años.
Me ha fascinado el inicio donde relata como ha avanzado China en el terreno tecnológico en los ultimo 20 años.
"Instead of seeking to outperform the human brain, I should have sought to understand the human heart"
Oh really?
It took a bout with cancer for Kai-Fu Lee, a lifelong voice and leader in artificial intelligence, to have a pseudo-Buddhist epiphany that we need to aim to have a society that is based on compassion. The emergence of AI is anything but that. He seems to be trapped in two worlds: a spiritual one where he is trying to reconnect with his humanity and the AI world which is dehumanizing us (although he won't admit this). His vision for the world is that wealth generated from AI can build a society that is more compassionate, loving, and human---which is so incredibly naive and delusional. Tech will make life more efficient, but a symbiosis with AI is a dehumanizing endeavour
The forecast is gloom: 40-50% of jobs will be displaced in 10-20 years; unemployment may rise to 20%; and we might live in a world where every few years people have to make lateral moves to learn new skills just to stay afloat as AI displaces blue and white collar jobs. Job security won't exist. Lee's optimistic view that AI can serve as an opportunity to nurture our humanistic values by adding more of a 'human touch' to jobs is delusional. There will be no need for human labour in any position that AI can fill.
The future of work for humans are jobs that aren't 'automatable'. Work that splits tasks with humans and AI is just a transition period as people get phased out once the technology advances. Lee believes that implementing a UBI would serve as a painkiller and sedative. He believes it's necessary, but somehow thinks that corporations and governments will band together to restructure society to benefit people. I have mixed feelings about UBI as I believe it's a misallocation of money and isn't a sophisticated solution. I think financial aid programs need to be set up for middle class and lower, similar with what is happening with COVID-19, to help people who have been displaced with work until their back on their feet. Welfare programs would continue for others who need it.
Bottom line: The future sounds bleak. Big corporation will shape the world and the gap between the wealthy will widen considerably with AI leaders becoming trillionaires. Kai-Fu Lee's vision of AI being an opportunity to help us get in touch with our humanity and understand ourselves better sounds a bit delusional. What is coming is social uproar and more inequality. Oh, and hopefully these tech guys and gals don't create the superintelligent AI that eventually wipes us out. Fun times ahead!
3/5
Oh really?
It took a bout with cancer for Kai-Fu Lee, a lifelong voice and leader in artificial intelligence, to have a pseudo-Buddhist epiphany that we need to aim to have a society that is based on compassion. The emergence of AI is anything but that. He seems to be trapped in two worlds: a spiritual one where he is trying to reconnect with his humanity and the AI world which is dehumanizing us (although he won't admit this). His vision for the world is that wealth generated from AI can build a society that is more compassionate, loving, and human---which is so incredibly naive and delusional. Tech will make life more efficient, but a symbiosis with AI is a dehumanizing endeavour
The forecast is gloom: 40-50% of jobs will be displaced in 10-20 years; unemployment may rise to 20%; and we might live in a world where every few years people have to make lateral moves to learn new skills just to stay afloat as AI displaces blue and white collar jobs. Job security won't exist. Lee's optimistic view that AI can serve as an opportunity to nurture our humanistic values by adding more of a 'human touch' to jobs is delusional. There will be no need for human labour in any position that AI can fill.
The future of work for humans are jobs that aren't 'automatable'. Work that splits tasks with humans and AI is just a transition period as people get phased out once the technology advances. Lee believes that implementing a UBI would serve as a painkiller and sedative. He believes it's necessary, but somehow thinks that corporations and governments will band together to restructure society to benefit people. I have mixed feelings about UBI as I believe it's a misallocation of money and isn't a sophisticated solution. I think financial aid programs need to be set up for middle class and lower, similar with what is happening with COVID-19, to help people who have been displaced with work until their back on their feet. Welfare programs would continue for others who need it.
Bottom line: The future sounds bleak. Big corporation will shape the world and the gap between the wealthy will widen considerably with AI leaders becoming trillionaires. Kai-Fu Lee's vision of AI being an opportunity to help us get in touch with our humanity and understand ourselves better sounds a bit delusional. What is coming is social uproar and more inequality. Oh, and hopefully these tech guys and gals don't create the superintelligent AI that eventually wipes us out. Fun times ahead!
3/5
really interesting for the insight it provided into how China's counterpart of Silicon Valley works and why international companies often struggle to succeed in the Chinese market. The AI-related discussion was mostly uninteresting, however.