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388 reviews for:
Le Hasard Sauvage : Comment la chance nous trompe
Carine Chichereau, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
3.92 AVERAGE
388 reviews for:
Le Hasard Sauvage : Comment la chance nous trompe
Carine Chichereau, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
3.92 AVERAGE
I wanted to read something completely different and chose this book. Unfortunately, I did not like it one bit. I had to skip certain parts or skim through them as it felt so repetitive. The presented ideas were highly interesting, but I just could not get over the narrator's arrogance and "I am so much smarter than you" tone.
informative
medium-paced
challenging
funny
informative
medium-paced
Just finished Fooled by Randomness, the final piece of my Incerto series puzzle and wow, Nassim Taleb has done it again. I thought I had a decent grasp on probability and statistics, but this book completely shattered my illusions about how the world actually works.
What struck me most was Taleb's brutal honesty about human irrationality. We're not the rational beings we think we are, we're pattern-seeking machines desperately trying to create narratives where none exist. The distinction between noise and signal hit particularly hard. We obsess over daily fluctuations (noise) while missing the long-term trends (signal) that actually matter.
The Stoic philosophy woven throughout resonated deeply. That quote about Lady Fortune having no control over your behavior? Chef's kiss. Taleb's approach isn't about fighting our biases - it's about acknowledging them and building systems that protect us from ourselves. The idea of living with dignity regardless of outcomes, focusing on heroic actions rather than heroic results, feels revolutionary in our outcome obsessed world.
The Monte Carlo simulations and mathematical meditations on history were fascinating. Seeing how randomness dominates short-term results while being nearly invisible in hindsight due to our narrative fallacy was eye-opening. We literally rewrite history to make random events seem inevitable.
Karl Popper's influence throughout the book is brilliant, the idea that theories exist to be proven wrong, not right, changes everything about how we should approach knowledge. Combined with the "skin in the game" philosophy, it creates a framework for actually learning rather than just accumulating information.
If you're ready to have your worldview challenged and want to understand why most success stories are just survivorship bias dressed up as wisdom, read this book. Fair warning: you'll never look at business advice, market predictions, or self-help gurus the same way again.
Nassim delivers once again with his unique blend of mathematics, philosophy, and brutal realism. Essential reading for anyone who wants to navigate an uncertain world with actual wisdom rather than false confidence.
What struck me most was Taleb's brutal honesty about human irrationality. We're not the rational beings we think we are, we're pattern-seeking machines desperately trying to create narratives where none exist. The distinction between noise and signal hit particularly hard. We obsess over daily fluctuations (noise) while missing the long-term trends (signal) that actually matter.
The Stoic philosophy woven throughout resonated deeply. That quote about Lady Fortune having no control over your behavior? Chef's kiss. Taleb's approach isn't about fighting our biases - it's about acknowledging them and building systems that protect us from ourselves. The idea of living with dignity regardless of outcomes, focusing on heroic actions rather than heroic results, feels revolutionary in our outcome obsessed world.
The Monte Carlo simulations and mathematical meditations on history were fascinating. Seeing how randomness dominates short-term results while being nearly invisible in hindsight due to our narrative fallacy was eye-opening. We literally rewrite history to make random events seem inevitable.
Karl Popper's influence throughout the book is brilliant, the idea that theories exist to be proven wrong, not right, changes everything about how we should approach knowledge. Combined with the "skin in the game" philosophy, it creates a framework for actually learning rather than just accumulating information.
If you're ready to have your worldview challenged and want to understand why most success stories are just survivorship bias dressed up as wisdom, read this book. Fair warning: you'll never look at business advice, market predictions, or self-help gurus the same way again.
Nassim delivers once again with his unique blend of mathematics, philosophy, and brutal realism. Essential reading for anyone who wants to navigate an uncertain world with actual wisdom rather than false confidence.
I'm so disappointed! Fooled by Randomness is less about the role that randomness plays in our lives and what we can learn from it and instead more about the lives of imagined and real rich asshole speculative traders. Also, a lot of ink was spent hating the press. Now, many worthwhile criticisms can be made towards the modern state of the press, but none of that criticism was substantive here. It distracted from the actual points that Taleb was trying to make by turning the readers attention towards the uselessness of the press instead of the role of randomness in arenas supposed to be dominated by skill. After Taleb's lauding in other work that I have read, especially Thinking Fast and Slow and Nikhil Suresh's "Ludicity" blog, I expected a more focused, direct, and incisive work from such a celebrated author.
I wound up feeling a strong personal dislike for the author, who's rude, condescending, and arrogant throughout the entire book. I don't feel like the book had anything to offer that hasn't been better articulated by other books. I understand, for instance, that this came out before [b:Thinking, Fast and Slow|11468377|Thinking, Fast and Slow|Daniel Kahneman|https://i.gr-assets.com/images/S/compressed.photo.goodreads.com/books/1317793965l/11468377._SX50_.jpg|16402639], but it leaned so heavily on the original research by Kahnemann that now it just feels like a rip-off.
medium-paced
sorry this is my finance bro book of the month. the narrative voice is arrogant and at-times condescending but honestly im used to them (traders). this book actually aligned with a lot of my personal believe about data science. “Probability is not a mere computation of odds on the dice or more complicated variants; it is the acceptance of the lack of certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for dealing with our ignorance.” its a dangerous fallacy to assume that past probabilities inform future outcomes. additionally, the hot take that put this book under fire and the reason why i love it is “Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.” millionaires and the likes of elon and mark don't "deserve" their wealth because they work harder or is smarter than any of us ordinary folks. their success is largely statistical.
entertaining and validating of my hatred for the ultra-wealthy!
entertaining and validating of my hatred for the ultra-wealthy!
I liked it a lot, it's the kind of book that can change the way you think about probability and randomness.