The Calm Before the Storm: Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa by Gregory F. Treverton, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Calm Before the Storm: Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa

Gregory F. Treverton, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Calm Before the Storm: Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa

Gregory F. Treverton, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

missing duration info Add in missing duration information first pub 2015 (editions)

economics philosophy challenging informative medium-paced
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Instead of trying to predict "Black Swan" events such as coups or crises, forecasters should look at how political systems handle disorder. The best indicator of a country's future trajectory is not a lengthy past stability, but recent moderate vo...

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