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dale_kooyenga 's review for:
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
I loved this book. I can't say I understood the whole book, some portions were over my head. However, the main themes are very relevant. Those themes are that macro unexpected events will substantially change everything -- Assassination that began WW1, S&L Crisis, 9/11, COVID (I added the last one). Taleb argues because these events are unexpected models and typically experts are wrong. It's a futile exercise since very small things, outside of models controls can have an enormous impact.
The author's tone is irreverent and he's so smart and confident I would occasionally just break out in laughter since he expresses clear contempt for other smart and confident professionals across many fields. He is actually complimentary of US Military Officers, he claims that we get it because we understand a single sniper or bomb can change everything and so predictions have to be very flexible.
I hope to read again and commit more of the book to memory.
The author's tone is irreverent and he's so smart and confident I would occasionally just break out in laughter since he expresses clear contempt for other smart and confident professionals across many fields. He is actually complimentary of US Military Officers, he claims that we get it because we understand a single sniper or bomb can change everything and so predictions have to be very flexible.
I hope to read again and commit more of the book to memory.