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steeluloid 's review for:
The Fourth Turning: What the Cycles of History Tell Us about America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny
by William Strauss, Neil Howe
Really good analysis of the difference between generations, which was fascinating. Especially the analysis between Boomers and their offspring- Generation X.
Unfortunately, this cyclical view of history has proven a pretty poor predictor for the future. According to the authors, the period between 2005 and 2020 should have been a powder-keg, waiting for any random spark to bring about a catastrophic collapse of American society.
By amazing coincidence, we’ve been through every one of these flash-points, with things returning to pretty much normal after a few months.
The massive economic crash of 2008 failed to bring about the collapse of the Federal Reserve.
Cyber attacks and election meddling by foreign powers turns out to be little more than fodder for the gossip pages.
The biggest pandemic in 100 years brings the economy to a temporary stop for a while, without resulting in inter-state wars and the collapse of government.
We even see a sitting President inciting his followers to March on the Capitol, but rather than plunging the country into civil war, we just see a handful of bewildered placard wavers taking selfie’s and wondering how they ever got into the building.
The day later, everyone gets back to what they were doing.
So much for the Fourth Turning.
Some doom mongers are still putting out YouTube videos claiming the Fourth Turning is coming, but it’s long over-due, and the whole point of cyclical history is that it’s supposed to happen on some sort of schedule.
Unfortunately, this cyclical view of history has proven a pretty poor predictor for the future. According to the authors, the period between 2005 and 2020 should have been a powder-keg, waiting for any random spark to bring about a catastrophic collapse of American society.
By amazing coincidence, we’ve been through every one of these flash-points, with things returning to pretty much normal after a few months.
The massive economic crash of 2008 failed to bring about the collapse of the Federal Reserve.
Cyber attacks and election meddling by foreign powers turns out to be little more than fodder for the gossip pages.
The biggest pandemic in 100 years brings the economy to a temporary stop for a while, without resulting in inter-state wars and the collapse of government.
We even see a sitting President inciting his followers to March on the Capitol, but rather than plunging the country into civil war, we just see a handful of bewildered placard wavers taking selfie’s and wondering how they ever got into the building.
The day later, everyone gets back to what they were doing.
So much for the Fourth Turning.
Some doom mongers are still putting out YouTube videos claiming the Fourth Turning is coming, but it’s long over-due, and the whole point of cyclical history is that it’s supposed to happen on some sort of schedule.