A review by hsway
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

4.0

A very convincing argument - the events that we can't predict have the most influence on the world's future, so forecasting based on past occurrences is an exercise in futility. Taleb makes his case without getting too bogged down in the technicalities of probability theory and philosophy - his particular specialties. He's also very funny, and totally unashamed to attack those with whom he disagrees. The book was published prior to the current financial crisis, but you can easily see how it fits his model.