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olichoreno 's review for:
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
In summary, we can say that Taleb teaches us areas of prediction that we did not have foreseen, the data that remains outside the percentages are the most problematic, since we believe that by seeing 97% in a graph, we will automatically be there, why? Why don't we think about what would happen if we were in the remaining 3%? Isn't enough to avoid the problems that come from quantifying in our favor, from searching our minds for the narrative that fits our future with a fictitious convenience, because then we are not different from Catholics, trusting blindly in God or numbers , Aronofsky presents a similar thesis in his first feature Pi¸ Are the numbers of God really different? The logic of faith? Eventually the two come out of the mind following their own logic.
I repeat once again based on Taleb's learning, it is useless in the graphics to come, having read one more book, because it will open a quantitative area that will spread branches of new knowledge that we will not know, it will always be as Mark Twain suggests, more dangerous what we don't know.
I repeat once again based on Taleb's learning, it is useless in the graphics to come, having read one more book, because it will open a quantitative area that will spread branches of new knowledge that we will not know, it will always be as Mark Twain suggests, more dangerous what we don't know.