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marksinnott4 's review for:
Nate Silver has reason to be confident. I had the pleasure of being halfway through this book as November 6th rolled around. Silver correctly predicted all 50 state outcomes in the presidential election and all but one of the Senate races. This would still be a great book even if all of those predictions hadn't have come true, but I'm sure the outcome didn't hurt his book sales at all.
This book is not just about elections. Silver takes a look at several different areas where predictions can be made: economics, earthquakes, sports, climate change, poker, terrorism and more. This book is very well researched and very well written. Silver's talent for not only the math behind predictions but the theory as well is more than evident.
The one knock I have on his writing is that he knows he knows he's right about a lot of his methods. This causes him to come off a bit cocky at times. I read Chris Hayes' book last month, and while I didn't like it as much as this one, I think if we were neighbors that Hayes and I would be friends. But, if Silver lived next door, I'm not sure we would hang out, even though I thought this book was excellent.
Again...in the end I can't blame him for being a bit confident. When you're right, you're right. And if you are writing a book about predictive theory, it really helps to be right.
This book is not just about elections. Silver takes a look at several different areas where predictions can be made: economics, earthquakes, sports, climate change, poker, terrorism and more. This book is very well researched and very well written. Silver's talent for not only the math behind predictions but the theory as well is more than evident.
The one knock I have on his writing is that he knows he knows he's right about a lot of his methods. This causes him to come off a bit cocky at times. I read Chris Hayes' book last month, and while I didn't like it as much as this one, I think if we were neighbors that Hayes and I would be friends. But, if Silver lived next door, I'm not sure we would hang out, even though I thought this book was excellent.
Again...in the end I can't blame him for being a bit confident. When you're right, you're right. And if you are writing a book about predictive theory, it really helps to be right.